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City of Ashland, Oregon / City Recorder / City Council Information / Packet Archives / Year 2003 / 09/22 Study Session / Financial Risk

Financial Risk


[Council Communication]


Council Communication
Title: DEIS Financial Issue Review
Dept: Finance Department
Date: September 15, 2003
Submitted By: Lee Tuneberg, Finance Director

...........................

Synopsis: The issuance of the US Forest Service (USFS) Draft Environmental Impact Study for the expansion of the Mt. Ashland Ski Area (MAA) has raised several finance related issues.

A. Will the sale of assets be enough to pay for restoration (reclamation)?
B. Where is the money to pay for restoration (reclamation)?

A review of these issues and some financial points raised by others are provided within this report's background. At this time it appears as though MAA has remained in compliance of the 1992 lease agreement but the cost of reclamation under the existing plan or any expansion requires added information. Additionally, some improvements could be made to the reclamation estimate methodology and asset valuation guarantees afforded the City.

Recommendation: It is recommended that the following steps be taken to minimize the risk to the City of Ashland:

1. Require of USFS an updated estimate of cost and basis for the estimate (things required to be done) for the ski area as it stands today and under the selected expansion alternative by USFS prior to approval.
2. Revise the lease agreement for the updated estimate of current reclamation costs and for any expansion alternative approved addressing the increased estimate of reclamation costs and work to be done.
3. Restrict the use of any assets deemed City property from becoming security for any loans or operations without (a) prior written consent from the City and (b) an independent asset inventory and valuation for minimum liquidation value to assure reclamation coverage.

Fiscal Impact: No impact determined at this time.
Background: First Issue: Will the sale of assets be enough to pay for restoration (reclamation)?

The July 9, 1992, lease calls for MAA to maintain a Minimum Liquidation Value (MLV) of leased property that equals the cost of restoring the mountain. We are using the term reclamation for restoration in that the intent was to resolve the impact of the ski activities and related structures, not to put the mountain back to its natural state. This perspective adheres to the USFS perspective.

The initial estimated amount of such a reclamation was $200,000 in that first year and non-cash assets were estimated in total at $1.3 million. The lease provides for a calculation to escalate that amount in an attempt to adjust for inflation. The current amount per the lease's approved calculation methodology is approximately $267,000. The MAA June 30, 2003, audited report includes $1.55 million in capital assets net of depreciation.

MAA has provided the City with a September 8, 2003, listing of marketable assets with a depreciated value of $548,312 and a fair market value of $1,251,093.

It appears as though MAA has complied with the lease agreement and the assets are sufficient to pay for current reclamation of the area.

The question then becomes: Are these assets sufficient to be sold and generate enough to pay for the current estimated cost for reclamation and also under an expanded scenario? That requires an estimate from USFS for the cost and perhaps an appraisal of all assets.

The authority to have an appraisal done and who bears the cost is provided in the lease agreement. I would not recommend doing an appraisal at this time for the following reasons:
a) Depreciated assets are double the calculated reclamation amount.
b) Estimated fair market level is over 4 times the reclamation amount.
c) USFS has not provided an updated estimate on reclamation that is significantly larger.
d) MAA has complied with the MLV contract requirements to date.

Second Issue: Where is the money to pay for restoration (reclamation)?

There is no cash reserved to pay reclamation costs nor has any been required by the lease agreement or by direction from the City in accordance with the agreement. The money to pay for reclamation is within the liquidation value of the assets. It is not likely that USFS would be quick to require reclamation if MAA discontinued operation and there is a potential that some other party may be selected to run a ski operation. With that understanding there would be adequate time to sell off assets to generate the requisite amount or to turn over assets to a third party.

This raises a concern regarding any financing that may have to be done as part of an expansion. Assets held to pay for reclamation are not to be encumbered or pledged to any other party for any reason.

We understand that MAA intends to do a fund raising to provide capital to pay for the expansion and that they have a study that identifies the amount that can be generated in a given timeframe. Since that is the approach that is being taken this becomes less of an issue and an appraisal of equipment and leasehold improvements can be deferred.

If financing was required for the project and that financing needed collateral beyond the pledging of future MAA revenues, the City would have to be petitioned for approval before any assets were used to guarantee debt payment. A valuation of assets would be appropriate at that time before a decision should be made.

Please note that if the expansion is begun and additional sellable assets are generated beyond those currently held for reclamation, then the amount that could be gained from the sale is increased based upon those items purchased or constructed with donated capital. In other words, assets generated by an expansion should be taken into consideration when considering the cost to restore the mountain due to an expansion.

Review of MAA and Sierra Club financial points

There has been a comparison of information made available to the public by the Rogue Group Sierra Club (RGSC) that questions MAA financial operations and condition in the following areas:
1. Funds available for expansion
2. Net operating income
3. Operating income and expense per skier/boarder visit
4. Annual skier/boarder visits

Complete explanations for each point must come from MAA but a review of existing documentation provides the following:

Funds available for expansion - RGSC points out that funds available for expansion have steadily declined to where MAA has less than $200,000 available and that a City supported $2.1 million loan for Phase 1 is required. MAA has declared the intention to do a fund raising campaign for phase one and no loan is intended thus removing the City's need to support such a financing. MAA has purchased considerable assets over the recent years that are part of the 9/8/03 asset listing.

Net operating income - RGSC observed that MAA's "annual net operating income has steadily declined. The new DEIS says that Mt. Ashland Association will pay for Phase Two and Three of expansion from operating income…DEIS does not tell us how…" MAA's latest financial report shows a $140,000 improvement over the prior year in operating income but a $498,104 further reduction of net assets of which $257,835 was capital acquisitions.

MAA's projections seem conservative about the amount of skier/boarder visit increases and the revenues it will generate however, it can be noted that there is no formal market analysis to support MAA's estimates. MAA has relied on industry standards and researched information from other ski area managers to generate estimates and projections.

Operating income and expense per skier/boarder visit - RGSC states that "Operating income per…visit has been essentially constant while expenses...has doubled over the past ten years. How will (they) pay interest and principal…plus save money for Phase 2 and 3…" MAA does not intend to finance so payment of principal and interest does not apply. One result could be that Phase 2 and 3 are not done if revenues do not increase.

A side point here is that if borrowing becomes necessary it would be appropriate for it to come to the City for approval if assets owned by the City or held for reclamation are to be pledged for payment of the loan.

Annual skier/boarder visits - RGSC points out that skier/boarder visits have been relatively flat at Mt. Ashland and region-wide yet the DEIS "assumes" that visitation will be on a steady, continuous rise with no fluctuations. "This makes for a poor economic analysis."

MAA's projections appear conservative, aiming at the customer groups they are not serving at this time. The proposed changes will have an affect, the question is how much and to what financial end.

Summary

It appears we have two ends of the spectrum. One side is considering taking some risk to "grow" a greater customer base and have it be a self sufficient operation rather than watch costs continue to increase and minimize the service that can be given. The other side has concerns regarding the impact of the expansion, the association's financial health, the economics behind the estimations from MAA and the City's financial exposure.

City staff have not assessed the business activities of MAA or interests of RGSC on how a designated ski area is to be used or managed beyond the impact on water quality and coverage for reclamation. It is up to those two parties to prove their points with USFS.

Attachments: None



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